Study Hall: Baylor 35, Kansas State 25

Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

As a major Baylor advocate this year, it was heartening to see the Bears pull through. Nothing was going right, and BU still ripped off three TD passes of 54 yards or more to win the game. But ... the awful ground performance is extremely disconcerting. KSU obviously had something to do with that (and wow, did the Wildcats tilt the field in their favor), but that defense hadn't been incredible in stopping the run this year. Baylor was doing everything almost perfectly, but if you can't run, you're not always going to get away with big pass plays to bail you out. (Well, Baylor might, but few pull that off.) So color me concerned.

Baylor 35, Kansas State 25

Baylor KSU Baylor KSU
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 30.5% 57.5% Success Rate 38.5% 51.8%
Leverage % 66.1% 70.0% PPP 0.25 0.51
S&P 0.638 1.026
TOTAL
EqPts 41.8 42.9 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 37.3% 45.0% Success Rate 35.0% 29.2%
Close PPP 0.71 0.54 PPP 1.60 0.60
Close S&P 1.082 0.987 S&P 1.946 0.897
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 10.5 33.3 Number 1 1
Close Success Rate 34.3% 48.2% Turnover Pts 4.0 3.2
Close PPP 0.30 0.59 Turnover Pts Margin -0.8 +0.8
Close S&P 0.643 1.076
Line Yards/carry 2.41 3.56 Q1 S&P 0.722 1.276
Q2 S&P 1.647 0.825
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.824 1.082
EqPts 31.3 9.7 Q4 S&P 1.008 0.779
Close Success Rate 41.7% 37.5%
Close PPP 1.31 0.40 1st Down S&P 0.555 0.836
Close S&P 1.722 0.778 2nd Down S&P 1.970 1.208
SD/PD Sack Rate 10.0% / 7.1% 0.0% / 16.7% 3rd Down S&P 0.770 0.979
Projected Pt. Margin: KSU +1.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Baylor +10
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