F/+ Picks: Week 2

NEW BRUNSWICK, NJ - NOVEMBER 19: Munchie Legaux #4 of the Cincinnati Bearcats throws a pass against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Rutgers Stadium on November 19, 2011 in New Brunswick, New Jersey. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
  • Week 1: 22-19 (53.7%)

Now it gets dicey. Typically I like to see a 60% week or so in Week 1 to offset the inevitable losses that come as I'm trying to figure out how to phase in 2012 data with preseason projections. One week in, we're basically looking mostly at the preseason projections, mixed with a dash of raw data. But that means a team like Michigan (whipped by Alabama) is overly punished for playing a good team while a team like Oklahoma State (massacred Savannah State) is rewarded for killing an awful one. This will come out in the wash eventually, once there's enough data for opponent adjustments. But in the meantime, we've got some picks I absolutely hate below. Penn State outright over Virginia, for instance. Or UConn (whipped UMass) over N.C. State (picked apart by Tennessee). Such is life. And as I said last week ... I don't put any money on these games, so what do I care?

And in brighter news ... THE MUNCHIE LEGAUX ERA BEGINS TONIGHT!!

Day Time
(ET)
TV Away Home Winner Spread
(Home)
Pick
Thursday 8:00pm ESPN Pittsburgh Cincinnati Cincinnati by 0.7 -4.5 Pittsburgh
Day Time
(ET)
TV Away Home Winner Spread
(Home)
Pick
Friday 8:00pm ESPN2 Utah Utah State Utah by 17.2 7.5 Utah
Day Time
(ET)
TV Away Home Winner Spread
(Home)
Pick
Saturday 12:00pm ESPN3 N.C. State Connecticut UConn by 7 4.5 UConn
Saturday 12:00pm ESPN2 UCF Ohio State Ohio St. by 17.8 -18.0 UCF
Saturday 12:00pm Reg. FSN Tulane Tulsa Tulsa by 23.3 -25.5 Tulane
Saturday 12:00pm ESPNU Maryland Temple Temple by 3.5 -10.0 Maryland
Saturday 12:00pm ABC Penn State Virginia Penn St. by 0.6 -10.5 Penn St.
Saturday 12:00pm ESPN Auburn Miss. St. Auburn by 1.1 -3.0 Auburn
Saturday 12:00pm FX Miami-FL Kansas St. Miami-FL by 0.7 -7.0 Miami-FL
Saturday 12:21pm SEC/ESPN3 E. Carolina S. Carolina S.C. by 28.9 -21.0 S.C.
Saturday 12:30pm ACC/ESPN3 Ball State Clemson Clemson by 31.2 -27.0 Clemson
Saturday 3:00pm ESPN3 N. Carolina Wake Forest UNC by 14.6 10.5 UNC
Saturday 3:30pm NBC Purdue Notre Dame Irish by 24.8 -14.0 Irish
Saturday 3:30pm ESPN3 Indiana UMass Indiana by 14.5 14.0 Indiana
Saturday 3:30pm ABC/ESPN2 Air Force Michigan Michigan by 17.7 -21.5 Air Force
Saturday 3:30pm ABC/ESPN2 USC Syracuse USC by 31 26.0 USC
Saturday 3:30pm ESPN Florida Texas A&M Florida by 7.4 -1.5 Florida
Saturday 3:30pm SEC/ESPN3 W. Kentucky Alabama Alabama by 46.6 -40.0 Alabama
Saturday 3:30pm ESPNU Michigan St. C. Michigan State by 16 21.0 CMU
Saturday 3:30pm BTN Iowa State Iowa Iowa by 17.8 -5.0 Iowa
Saturday 3:30pm Reg. FSN Rice Kansas Kansas by 15.4 -10.0 Kansas
Saturday 3:35pm CBS Sports S. Florida Nevada S. Florida by 11.3 -2.0 S. Florida
Saturday 4:00pm FX Wisconsin Oregon St. Wisconsin by 11.5 6.5 Wisconsin
Saturday 4:00pm Toledo Wyoming Toledo by 6.3 -3.0 Toledo
Saturday 6:00pm ESPN3 Akron Fla. Int'l FIU by 23.6 -24.0 Akron
Saturday 6:30pm Pac-12 Fresno State Oregon Oregon by 34.4 -35.0 Fresno State
Saturday 7:00pm ESPNU UL-Monroe Arkansas Arkansas by 34.7 -30.5 Arkansas
Saturday 7:00pm ESPN Washington LSU LSU by 35.2 -23.5 LSU
Saturday 7:00pm ESPN3 UTEP Ole Miss Ole Miss by 21.6 -7.5 Ole Miss
Saturday 7:00pm ESPN3 Idaho Bowling Green BGSU by 23 -16.5 BGSU
Saturday 7:00pm ESPN3 New Mex. St. Ohio Ohio by 31.4 -21.0 Ohio
Saturday 7:00pm ESPN3 Texas Tech Texas State Tech by 32.9 18.0 Tech
Saturday 7:00pm ESPN3 Memphis Arkansas State ASU by 7.2 -23.0 Memphis
Saturday 7:00pm ESPN3 Fla. Atlantic Middle Tenn. MTSU by 2.8 -8.5 FAU
Saturday 7:00pm ESPN3 UL-Lafayette Troy Troy by 3.9 -3.0 Troy
Saturday 7:30pm NBC Sports Army San Diego St. SDSU by 6 -6.0 SDSU
Saturday 7:30pm Fox Nebraska UCLA Nebraska by 13.7 5.5 Nebraska
Saturday 7:30pm ESPN3 Kent State Kentucky Kentucky by 10.1 -7.0 Kentucky
Saturday 7:45pm ESPN2 Georgia Missouri Georgia by 4.3 2.5 Georgia
Saturday 8:00pm BTN Vanderbilt Northwestern Vanderbilt by 5.2 3.5 Vanderbilt
Saturday 8:00pm CBS Sports La. Tech Houston Houston by 4.8 3.5 Houston
Saturday 8:00pm LHN New Mexico Texas Texas by 44.7 -38.0 Texas
Saturday 10:30pm ESPN Illinois Arizona St. ASU by 3.2 -3.5 Illinois
Saturday 10:30pm Pac-12 Oklahoma St. Arizona OSU by 28.1 10.5 OSU
Saturday 10:30pm Pac-12 Duke Stanford Stanford by 21.3 -15.0 Stanford

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