The below table looks at each of the 1-A games played by the above four teams, ranking them from the best to worst performances.
A couple things are pretty obvious from looking at the table: first, Alabama is almost exclusively near the top of the list. 5 of the top 9, 6 of the top 11, and 7 of the top 13 games. The only game that rated anywhere near the bottom was their blowout of FAU, which is more "this opponent is too atrocious to give much credit to a blowout win" than any kind of actual wart.
Second, Notre Dame is the inverse of Alabama, almost exclusively occupying the bottom of the list. 2 of the bottom 3 (and those 3 were WAY worse than any other performances on this list), 5 of the bottom 7, and 6 of the bottom 13. The Irish had one truly elite performance, the blowout win at Oklahoma, but other than that, there just isn't much heft to the resume compared to Alabama, Oregon or Kansas St.
It's harder to separate Oregon and Kansas St just from looking at the list, and in fact their resumes suggest a fairly similar conclusion. The basic difference is that Oregon's blowout of Arizona rates much better than KSU's blowout of Texas Tech, and KSU's struggle against North Texas is much worse than Oregon's mediocre win at Wazzu. But overall, the two teams' resumes are fairly close, and there's plenty of time for the gap between them to grow, shrink or possibly even reverse.
|1||Notre Dame||Oklahoma||AWAY||30 - 13|
|2||Oregon||Arizona||HOME||49 - 0|
|3||Alabama||Arkansas||AWAY||52 - 0|
|4||Alabama||Western Kentucky||HOME||35 - 0|
|5||Kansas State||Texas Tech||HOME||55 - 24|
|6||Alabama||Mississippi State||HOME||38 - 7|
|7||Kansas State||West Virginia||AWAY||55 - 14|
|8||Alabama||Missouri||AWAY||42 - 10|
|9||Alabama||Tennessee||AWAY||44 - 13|
|10||Kansas State||Oklahoma||AWAY||24 - 19|
|11||Alabama||Michigan||NEUTRAL||41 - 14|
|12||Oregon||Southern California||AWAY||62 - 51|
|13||Alabama||Louisiana State||AWAY||21 - 17|
|14||Oregon||Arizona State||AWAY||43 - 21|
|15||Oregon||Washington||HOME||52 - 21|
|16||Oregon||Fresno State||HOME||42 - 25|
|17||Notre Dame||Miami (Florida)||HOME||41 - 3|
|18||Alabama||Mississippi||HOME||33 - 14|
|19||Notre Dame||Michigan State||AWAY||20 - 3|
|20||Kansas State||Oklahoma State||HOME||44 - 30|
|21||Kansas State||Miami (Florida)||HOME||52 - 13|
|22||Notre Dame||Navy||NEUTRAL||50 - 10|
|23||Kansas State||Kansas||HOME||56 - 16|
|24||Oregon||Colorado||HOME||70 - 14|
|25||Oregon||Arkansas State||HOME||57 - 34|
|26||Kansas State||Iowa State||AWAY||27 - 21|
|27||Alabama||Florida Atlantic||HOME||40 - 7|
|28||Notre Dame||Stanford||HOME||20 - 13 (OT)|
|29||Notre Dame||Michigan||HOME||13 - 6|
|30||Notre Dame||Brigham Young||HOME||17 - 14|
|31||Oregon||Washington State||AWAY||51 - 26|
|32||Notre Dame||Pittsburgh||HOME||29 - 26 (OT)|
|33||Kansas State||North Texas||HOME||35 - 21|
|34||Notre Dame||Purdue||HOME||20 - 17|
There are a few important notes and caveats I need to make about this model:
1) Compu-Picks does not endorse implicitly or explicitly any form of illegal gambling. Compu-Picks is intended to be used for entertainment purposes only.
2) No guarantee or warranty is offered or implied by Compu-Picks for any information provided and/or predictions made.
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