VARSITY NUMBERS: Putting A Bow On 2011
The season-ending Varsity Numbers went up yesterday at Football Outsiders, complete with Alabama-LSU box score and analysis.
Some thoughts:
- More than 40 percent of LSU's snaps took place on passing downs, and nine percent of their snaps took place on Alabama's side of the 50. Honestly, you can pretty much stop the analysis there. (Not that we will.)
- This entire game was seen as another example of offensive ineptitude by some, but that was really only the case when LSU had the ball. Yes, Alabama only scored one touchdown, and yes, they were quite timid with the ball once they dipped inside LSU's 30, but a) they still turned bad field position into points multiple times, and b) they would have probably been more aggressive if their defense wasn't so insanely effective. When you've got perhaps the best defense of the last 20 years, you can afford to play it safe and settle for field goals. Alabama's offense was very impressive when it needed to be, and the Tide's ability to throw on standard downs was both unexpected and a sign of solid proficiency.
- Alabama's first-down success (and LSU's lack thereof) completely and totally set the tone for the game. The Tide were able to avoid passing downs until they got into LSU territory. LSU fell into passing downs immediately. Alabama was not able to produce big play after big play by any means (LSU's defense, after all, was still mighty impressive), but they were able to stay on schedule for longer periods of time.
- No, LSU's backup quarterback Jarrett Lee wouldn't have done any better than Jordan Jefferson; but yes, Les Miles should have probably given Lee a shot anyway. Jefferson's head was not where it needed to be after a series of mistakes (and an embarrassing interception), and even though he is certainly more mobile than Lee in the face of a pass rush (as Miles stated after the game), avoiding a pass rush doesn't matter if you aren't going to be able to pass effectively after you have dodged it. Then again, there was no right answer here, so I cannot crush Miles too much for his decision making.
Okay, it seems like I've put about 26 straight posts up with an Alabama picture. (Or, you know, three.) That's probably enough.
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If we've got the entire offseason to kill...
Do you think there will be a series of advanced scores on the better bowl games? And any chance you stretch the credibility of the word “better” to include the Capital One Bowl?
Figure we got 8 months to kill, and while it’s likely more interesting to look at macro-level things and look forward to 2012, seriously, we have 8 months to kill. I’m happy to spend an hour thinking about UL-Lafayette v San Diego State one more time.
"I make love to pressure."
-- Stephen Jackson
Just what better bowl games?
Flag football doesn’t count.
"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1
Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.
by the thin red line on Jan 17, 2012 10:04 AM EST up reply actions
Hopefully enough people read
this article. One need not have a high octane offense to be good. That doesn’t mean there aren’t better offenses than LSU or Alabama’s, or that they can’t improve. But look how WVU did against LSU compared to Clemson. The two best teams were boring , but they were the best.
"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1
Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.
by the thin red line on Jan 17, 2012 10:09 AM EST reply actions

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