I'm testing out a single-game review format here, so let me know what you think. I'm trying to figure out a quick way to post and briefly analyze games from the previous week. What other games would you like to see?
LSU 40, Oregon 27
|Close %||82.9%||STANDARD DOWNS|
|Field Position %||46.3%||52.9%||Success Rate||52.0%||34.0%|
|Close Success Rate||32.8%||32.4%||Success Rate||25.0%||26.1%|
|Close Success Rate||31.8%||37.0%||Turnover Pts||17.0||0.0|
|Close PPP||0.11||0.30||Turnover Pts Margin||-17.0||+17.0|
|Line Yards/carry||2.63||2.22||Q1 S&P||0.458||0.203|
|Close Success Rate||33.3%||22.7%|
|Close PPP||0.16||0.29||1st Down S&P||0.494||0.639|
|Close S&P||0.497||0.520||2nd Down S&P||0.640||0.640|
|SD/PD Sack Rate||12.5% / 0.0%||0.0% / 0.0%||3rd Down S&P||0.767||0.716|
|Projected Pt. Margin: LSU +17.6 | Actual Pt. Margin: LSU +13|
- Both of these teams had awesome Passing Downs defenses last year, and both looked good on Saturday, so the winner was going to be the team that avoided PDs. LSU's Leverage Rate (the ratio of standard downs to total plays) was a bit higher, but as I've mentioned a couple of times this week, Oregon's turnovers led to permanent passing downs, so to speak, and that gave LSU an extreme advantage.
- LSU also struggled mightily on standard downs, but the turnovers allowed the Tigers to play things as close to the vest as they wanted.
- A 31.8% success rate for Oregon on the ground. Yikes. LSU's defense is phenomenal at avoiding big plays, so a low Oregon PPP was to be expected. But Oregon was incredibly inefficient, and it more or less doomed them, especially when combined with the turnovers.
- Look at the third-quarter S&P numbers. Methinks that's when the game was decided, eh?
- There was a lot of bad passing in this game. You already knew that, and you didn't need the numbers to back it up, but still.