Week Four F/+ Picks

Alright, three weeks in and we're still doing well. This is the first week for opponent adjustments, however, so let's see if that screws with the picks a bit ... and yes, last year scarred me enough that I'm just waiting for the other shoe to drop. CONFIDENCE!

Last Week's Results

Week 3 Season
27-21 56.3% 72-60-1 54.5%
Upset Picks 2-4 33.3% 8-7 53.3%
0-5 point spread
10-8 55.6% 15-15-1 50.0%
5-10 points
6-5 54.5% 19-15 55.9%
10-20 points
7-2 77.8% 16-13 55.2%
20-30 points
3-4 42.9% 13-12 52.0%
30+ points
1-2 33.3% 6-4 60.0%

So far, so good ... don't want to say anything else without knocking on wood...

Date Time (ET) Game Spread
Winner ATS Pick
22-Sep 8:00 PM N.C. State at Cincinnati (ESPN) -7.5 Cincinnati by 2.2 N.C. State
23-Sep 8:00 PM UCF at BYU (ESPN) -2.5 UCF by 0.4 UCF
24-Sep 12:00 PM N. Carolina at Ga. Tech (ESPN) -6.5 Ga. Tech by 10.8 Ga. Tech
24-Sep 12:00 PM C. Michigan at Michigan St. (ESPNU) -23.0 MSU by 23.5 MSU
24-Sep 12:00 PM San Diego State at Michigan (BTN) -10.5 Michigan by 26.6 Michigan
24-Sep 12:00 PM Toledo at Syracuse (ESPN3) -2.5 Syracuse by 0.4 Toledo
24-Sep 12:00 PM Eastern Michigan at Penn State (ESPN2) -28.5 Penn State by 32.1 Penn State
24-Sep 12:00 PM Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (ABC) 6.5 Notre Dame by 5.2 Pittsburgh
24-Sep 12:00 PM SMU at Memphis (FSN) 21.5 SMU by 16.6 Memphis
24-Sep 12:00 PM UL-Monroe at Iowa (BTN) -17.0 Iowa by 24.6 Iowa
24-Sep 12:21 PM Georgia at Ole Miss (ESPN3) 9.5 Georgia by 15.4 Georgia
24-Sep 12:30 PM Temple at Maryland (ESPN3) -8.5 Maryland by 17 Maryland
24-Sep 1:00 PM Bowling Green at Miami-OH (ESPN3) -4.0 Miami-OH by 4.5 Miami-OH
24-Sep 2:00 PM Ohio at Rutgers (ESPN3) -4.0 Rutgers by 8.4 Rutgers
24-Sep 2:00 PM Army at Ball State (ESPN3) 4.0 Ball State by 3.3 Ball State
24-Sep 3:30 PM Tulane at Duke (ESPN3) -10.0 Duke by 11.5 Duke
24-Sep 3:30 PM UAB at East Carolina (WITN?) -13.0 ECU by 22.1 ECU
24-Sep 3:30 PM Colorado at Ohio State (ABC/ESPN2) -15.0 Ohio St. by 21.7 Ohio State
24-Sep 3:30 PM UCLA at Oregon State (FSN) -4.0 OSU by 12.4 OSU
24-Sep 3:30 PM Florida State at Clemson (ESPN) -2.0 FSU by 3.4 FSU
24-Sep 3:30 PM Oklahoma St. at Texas A&M (ABC/ESPN2) -4.5 Texas A&M by 3 OSU
24-Sep 3:30 PM Southern Miss at Virginia (ESPN3) -3.0 Virginia by 3.5 Virginia
24-Sep 3:30 PM California at Washington (FSN) -1.0 California by 0.9 California
24-Sep 3:30 PM Virginia Tech at Marshall (CBSSN) 20.5 Va. Tech by 31.4 Va. Tech
24-Sep 3:30 PM Arkansas at Alabama (CBS) -11.5 Alabama by 19.6 Alabama
24-Sep 3:30 PM Western Michigan at Illinois (BTN) -12.0 Illinois by 16.1 Illinois
24-Sep 3:30 PM Kansas State at Miami-FL (ESPNU) -12.0 Miami-FL by 17.2 Miami-FL
24-Sep 4:00 PM New Mexico St. at San Jose St. (ESPN3) -10.0 SJSU by 8.7 NMSU
24-Sep 4:30 PM Middle Tennessee at Troy (ESPN3) -12.5 Troy by 16.5 Troy
24-Sep 5:00 PM Fresno State at Idaho (ESPN3) 3.0 Fresno by 5.6 Fresno
24-Sep 6:00 PM Connecticut at Buffalo (ESPN3) 8.5 UConn by 14.2 UConn
24-Sep 6:00 PM UL-Lafayette at Florida Int'l (ESPN3) -17.0 FIU by 19.1 FIU
24-Sep 7:00 PM Florida Atlantic at Auburn (ESPN3) -33.0 Auburn by 43 Auburn
24-Sep 7:00 PM UTEP at South Florida (ESPN3) -29.0 USF by 32.6 USF
24-Sep 7:00 PM Florida at Kentucky (ESPN) 19.5 Florida by 18.3 Kentucky
24-Sep 7:00 PM Rice at Baylor (FSMW) -20.5 Baylor by 14.8 Rice
24-Sep 7:00 PM Indiana at North Texas (ESPN3) 6.5 Indiana by 2.3 North Texas
24-Sep 7:00 PM La. Tech at Mississippi St. (ESPNU) -19.5 MSU by 17.1 La. Tech
24-Sep 7:00 PM Vanderbilt at South Carolina (ESPN2) -16.0 S. Caro. by 22 S. Caro.
24-Sep 7:00 PM Nevada at Texas Tech (FCSC) -19.5 Texas Tech by 15.8 Nevada
24-Sep 7:30 PM Nebraska at Wyoming (VS) 23.0 Nebraska by 21.7 Wyoming
24-Sep 8:00 PM Missouri at Oklahoma (FX) -21.0 Oklahoma by 22.3 Oklahoma
24-Sep 8:00 PM Tulsa at Boise State (CBSSN) -28.5 Boise St. by 33.2 Boise State
24-Sep 8:00 PM LSU at West Virginia (ABC) 5.5 LSU by 8.4 LSU
24-Sep 8:00 PM Colorado State at Utah State (ESPN3) -9.5 Utah State by 12.6 Utah State
24-Sep 10:15 PM USC at Arizona State (ESPN) -2.5 USC by 0.3 USC
24-Sep 10:15 PM Oregon at Arizona (ESPN2) 14.5 Oregon by 15.6 Oregon

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