Yesterday, we looked at an Arizona State team that had one of the smallest combined target rates for their top three targets, so today we'll use Kentucky as a reason to look at receiving duos. In losing receivers Randall Cobb and Chris Matthews, Kentucky has to replace a duo that accounted for 51% of the team's targets in 2010, 18th-most in the country.
Teams With Highest Target Rates Among Top Two Receivers
1. Western Michigan (64.0%, Juan Nunez and Jordan White)
2. Navy (57.2%, Greg Jones and Gee Gee Greene)
3. San Diego State (54.7%, DeMarco Sampson and Vincent Brown)
4. Missouri (54.4%, T.J. Moe and Michael Egnew)
5. Washington (53.8%, Jermaine Kearse and D'Andre Goodwin)
6. Cincinnati (53.3%, Armon Binns and D.J. Woods)
7. Kent State (53.0%, Sam Kirkland and Tyshon Goode)
8. Florida Atlantic (52.8%, Lestar Jean and Rob Housler)
9. Bowling Green (52.3%, Kamar Jorden and Tyrone Pronty)
10. Illinois (52.1%, A.J. Jenkins and Jarred Fayson)
11. Washington State (51.9%, Marquess Wilson and Jared Karstetter)
12. Nebraska (51.5%, Brandon Kinnie and Niles Paul)
13. Buffalo (51.5%, Marcus Rivers and Terrell Jackson)
14. SMU (51.4%, Cole Beasley and Aldrick Robinson)
15. Ohio State (51.4%, DeVier Posey and Dane Sanzenbacher)
16. Michigan (51.2%, Roy Roundtree and Darryl Stonum)
17. South Carolina (50.8%, Alshon Jeffery and Tori Gurley)
18. Kentucky (50.6%, Randall Cobb and Chris Matthews)
19. Toledo (50.6%, Eric Page and Adonis Thomas)
20. California (49.5%, Marvin Jones and Keenan Allen)
Average Passing S&P+ rank of the teams on this list: 57.9.
Average Passing S&P+ rank of the teams at the bottom of the list: 81.7.
Apparently it's not a good idea to be on either extreme of this list, which makes sense. Focusing too much on two guys will make you predictable, but having no go-to options isn't good either. But if you have to skew in one direction, skew higher. As you'll see after the jump, five of the top ten Passing S&P+ teams ranked in the Top 25 of this list, while only one top ten Passing S&P+ team ranked in the bottom 45.
Complete list after the jump.
Rk | Team | Comb. Target Rate, Top Two Receivers |
Passing S&P+ Rk |
1 | Western Michigan | 64.0% | 79 |
2 | Navy | 57.2% | 26 |
3 | San Diego State | 54.7% | 24 |
4 | Missouri | 54.4% | 34 |
5 | Washington | 53.8% | 18 |
6 | Cincinnati | 53.3% | 27 |
7 | Kent State | 53.0% | 113 |
8 | Florida Atlantic | 52.8% | 71 |
9 | Bowling Green | 52.3% | 114 |
10 | Illinois | 52.1% | 73 |
11 | Washington State | 51.9% | 67 |
12 | Nebraska | 51.5% | 63 |
13 | Buffalo | 51.5% | 110 |
14 | SMU | 51.4% | 58 |
15 | Ohio State | 51.4% | 16 |
16 | Michigan | 51.2% | 5 |
17 | South Carolina | 50.8% | 9 |
18 | Kentucky | 50.6% | 33 |
19 | Toledo | 50.6% | 60 |
20 | California | 50.5% | 106 |
21 | Indiana | 50.3% | 41 |
22 | Connecticut | 49.5% | 96 |
23 | USC | 49.4% | 37 |
24 | Auburn | 49.3% | 1 |
25 | Boise State | 48.9% | 3 |
26 | West Virginia | 48.9% | 42 |
27 | Temple | 48.7% | 90 |
28 | Miami-OH | 48.5% | 91 |
29 | Army | 48.5% | 94 |
30 | Pittsburgh | 48.4% | 25 |
31 | Hawaii | 48.1% | 28 |
32 | Miami-FL | 48.0% | 38 |
33 | Rutgers | 47.5% | 92 |
34 | Oregon | 47.4% | 21 |
35 | Iowa | 47.3% | 23 |
36 | Virginia Tech | 47.0% | 10 |
37 | Kansas | 46.8% | 120 |
38 | East Carolina | 46.8% | 32 |
39 | Oklahoma | 46.7% | 7 |
40 | LSU | 46.3% | 59 |
41 | Oklahoma State | 46.3% | 8 |
42 | Alabama | 45.5% | 4 |
43 | Virginia | 45.4% | 80 |
44 | Georgia Tech | 45.2% | 104 |
45 | Maryland | 45.2% | 39 |
46 | Minnesota | 44.8% | 51 |
47 | San Jose State | 44.5% | 88 |
48 | Nevada | 44.2% | 12 |
49 | Texas A&M | 44.0% | 36 |
50 | South Florida | 43.6% | 81 |
51 | New Mexico State | 43.5% | 115 |
52 | Notre Dame | 43.5% | 35 |
53 | Wyoming | 43.1% | 84 |
54 | Houston | 43.0% | 65 |
55 | Tennessee | 42.8% | 43 |
56 | Florida International | 42.7% | 64 |
57 | Wake Forest | 42.7% | 103 |
58 | Mississippi State | 42.6% | 55 |
59 | New Mexico | 42.6% | 119 |
60 | Central Florida | 42.3% | 50 |
61 | Duke | 42.3% | 57 |
62 | Western Kentucky | 42.2% | 116 |
63 | Ohio | 41.9% | 62 |
64 | UL-Monroe | 41.9% | 89 |
65 | Akron | 41.9% | 118 |
66 | Michigan State | 41.8% | 20 |
67 | Colorado | 41.5% | 40 |
68 | UNLV | 41.4% | 66 |
69 | Oregon State | 41.4% | 15 |
70 | Florida State | 41.1% | 11 |
71 | Baylor | 41.1% | 13 |
72 | Central Michigan | 40.8% | 93 |
73 | Northwestern | 40.4% | 77 |
74 | Penn State | 40.2% | 54 |
75 | Stanford | 40.1% | 2 |
76 | North Texas | 39.9% | 102 |
77 | Georgia | 39.7% | 22 |
78 | Wisconsin | 39.6% | 14 |
79 | Arkansas State | 39.2% | 82 |
80 | Kansas State | 39.2% | 48 |
81 | Iowa State | 39.0% | 75 |
82 | Air Force | 39.0% | 29 |
83 | Utah | 38.7% | 19 |
84 | Arizona | 38.7% | 31 |
85 | Syracuse | 38.7% | 100 |
86 | TCU | 38.4% | 17 |
87 | Fresno State | 38.2% | 52 |
88 | Ole Miss | 38.0% | 49 |
89 | Northern Illinois | 37.8% | 46 |
90 | Texas | 37.6% | 107 |
91 | Texas Tech | 37.6% | 30 |
92 | Marshall | 37.5% | 78 |
93 | Memphis | 37.1% | 105 |
94 | Troy | 36.9% | 53 |
95 | Louisiana Tech | 36.8% | 83 |
96 | UCLA | 36.2% | 111 |
97 | Eastern Michigan | 36.2% | 70 |
98 | Tulsa | 36.1% | 69 |
99 | Clemson | 36.0% | 72 |
100 | NC State | 35.9% | 45 |
101 | UTEP | 35.9% | 98 |
102 | Utah State | 35.9% | 99 |
103 | Ball State | 35.8% | 108 |
104 | Purdue | 35.5% | 109 |
105 | Boston College | 35.3% | 97 |
106 | Tulane | 34.8% | 101 |
107 | North Carolina | 34.6% | 44 |
108 | BYU | 34.1% | 86 |
109 | Florida | 34.0% | 61 |
110 | Arkansas | 33.6% | 6 |
111 | Vanderbilt | 33.2% | 117 |
112 | Louisville | 32.9% | 56 |
113 | Southern Miss | 31.9% | 74 |
114 | UL-Lafayette | 31.3% | 95 |
115 | UAB | 31.2% | 68 |
116 | Rice | 30.7% | 76 |
117 | Colorado State | 29.5% | 87 |
118 | Arizona State | 28.5% | 47 |
119 | Idaho | 28.4% | 85 |
120 | Middle Tennessee | 27.7% | 112 |
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