F/+ Rankings, End Of Regular Season
by Bill C. on Dec 5, 2011 2:07 PM EST
in 2011 College Football Season
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PrintYour end-of-regular-season (sans Army-Navy) F/+ rankings are now posted at Outsiders. I'll say this much: Oklahoma State gave it a run. They made up half of Alabama's lead with their romp over Oklahoma. Meanwhile, LSU just continues to expand their lead. Now ... we are going to be recalculating F/+ ratings from previous seasons soon -- to account for both a slight change to S&P+ and the addition of the special teams component -- so this isn't a perfect comparison, but this is still worth noting in the meantime: since 2005, only two teams have posted an F/+ rating higher than LSU's +38.1%: 2005 Texas (+38.4%) and 2008 Florida (+38.3%). They are just so damn good. They refused to play offense for the first half against Georgia and still a) won easily and b) played well enough for the game to rank second in Off. F/+.
| F/+ Rk | Team | Record | F/+ | Last Week |
Chg | Off F/+ |
Rk | Def F/+ |
Rk | Spec. Tms F/+ |
Rk |
| 1 | LSU | 13-0 | 38.1% | 1 | 0 | 15.0% | 2 | 19.6% | 1 | 3.5% | 3 |
| 2 | Alabama | 11-1 | 30.5% | 2 | 0 | 12.1% | 10 | 19.1% | 2 | -0.7% | 78 |
| 3 | Oklahoma State | 11-1 | 27.3% | 4 | 1 | 12.9% | 5 | 11.8% | 3 | 2.5% | 9 |
| 4 | Boise State | 11-1 | 26.0% | 3 | -1 | 12.6% | 7 | 9.8% | 7 | 3.7% | 2 |
| 5 | Wisconsin | 11-2 | 24.2% | 6 | 1 | 19.8% | 1 | 3.7% | 32 | 0.7% | 46 |
| 6 | Oregon | 11-2 | 23.6% | 5 | -1 | 12.3% | 8 | 10.0% | 6 | 1.3% | 30 |
| 7 | Stanford | 11-1 | 18.7% | 8 | 1 | 13.2% | 4 | 4.9% | 27 | 0.6% | 49 |
| 8 | Florida State | 8-4 | 18.6% | 9 | 1 | 5.0% | 34 | 9.7% | 8 | 4.0% | 1 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | 9-3 | 18.5% | 7 | -2 | 10.0% | 14 | 8.0% | 11 | 0.5% | 53 |
| 10 | Michigan State | 10-3 | 18.2% | 10 | 0 | 8.0% | 20 | 7.9% | 13 | 2.3% | 14 |
| 11 | USC | 10-2 | 16.9% | 11 | 0 | 12.8% | 6 | 2.5% | 44 | 1.5% | 26 |
| 12 | Michigan | 10-2 | 16.6% | 12 | 0 | 11.5% | 11 | 5.0% | 24 | 0.1% | 59 |
| 13 | Notre Dame | 8-4 | 14.9% | 15 | 2 | 7.8% | 22 | 6.3% | 17 | 0.8% | 42 |
| 14 | Georgia | 10-3 | 14.7% | 13 | -1 | 8.8% | 17 | 6.9% | 15 | -0.9% | 80 |
| 15 | TCU | 10-2 | 14.2% | 19 | 4 | 8.6% | 18 | 3.8% | 31 | 1.8% | 18 |
| F/+ Rk | Team | Record | F/+ | Last Week |
Chg | Off F/+ |
Rk | Def F/+ |
Rk | Spec. Tms F/+ |
Rk |
| 16 | Arkansas | 10-2 | 13.9% | 16 | 0 | 10.4% | 12 | 2.0% | 47 | 1.6% | 23 |
| 17 | Nebraska | 9-3 | 13.6% | 17 | 0 | 6.3% | 28 | 5.0% | 25 | 2.4% | 13 |
| 18 | Texas A&M | 6-6 | 12.5% | 21 | 3 | 8.1% | 19 | 4.1% | 30 | 0.4% | 56 |
| 19 | Virginia Tech | 11-2 | 12.4% | 14 | -5 | 7.4% | 23 | 5.0% | 22 | -0.1% | 66 |
| 20 | Texas | 7-5 | 11.6% | 18 | -2 | -1.0% | 65 | 10.1% | 5 | 2.5% | 10 |
| 21 | Southern Miss | 11-2 | 11.3% | 32 | 11 | 3.9% | 40 | 5.9% | 19 | 1.5% | 24 |
| 22 | Houston | 12-1 | 10.2% | 20 | -2 | 12.2% | 9 | -1.3% | 66 | -0.6% | 77 |
| 23 | Temple | 8-4 | 9.8% | 22 | -1 | 1.9% | 48 | 4.5% | 29 | 3.4% | 4 |
| 24 | Clemson | 10-3 | 9.8% | 36 | 12 | 9.6% | 16 | -0.8% | 61 | 0.9% | 39 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | 9-3 | 9.7% | 23 | -2 | 6.4% | 26 | 2.0% | 49 | 1.4% | 28 |
(As always, check out the full S&P+, FEI, Off. S&P+ and Def. S&P+ rankings at Outsiders as well.)
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I love the great work Football Outsiders does.
Unfortunately, at RBR when I pointed out that OSU’s defense was more efficient than Arkansas’, that caused a bit of a strong reaction.
I suppose even if Bama were to blowout LSU, which I don’t see happening, LSU would still rank #1 in F/+.
"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.
by the thin red line on Dec 6, 2011 1:57 AM EST reply actions
It seems like you overrate special teams
Just a quick glance at the ratings, and many of the teams in the top 40 that seem dramatically off by the eyeball test have extreme special teams numbers.
"Lattimore, as the kids can say, can ball, and sometimes does it to the extent one might say [he] is out of control in his balling." - Spencer Hall
by GwinnettGamecock on Dec 8, 2011 12:38 AM EST reply actions
It appears...
…that the offensive, defensive, and special teams are simply added together to get a final sum. I would agree that special teams probably doesn’t deserve 33% weight. But if you look closer, you can see that the special teams percentage numbers are much smaller than the offensive and defensive numbers. In other words, the difference between a great special teams unit and a terrible special teams unit isn’t nearly as pronounced as the difference between a horrific defense and a terrible defense.
As a result the percentages are lower, and the special teams component is probably more akin to 10% weight, which sounds about right.
No homer.
by kidbourbon on Dec 9, 2011 2:16 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Special teams = 14%. Offense & defense = 43% each.
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So, ST is 28% of FEI?
I suppose by definition, S＆P+ for ST is impossible.
"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.
by the thin red line on Dec 10, 2011 11:32 PM EST up reply actions
My bad.
″S″ does not mean ″Standard″ nor does ″P″ mean ″Passing″.
"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.
by the thin red line on Dec 11, 2011 12:11 AM EST up reply actions
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