2010 F/+ Rankings Now Available At Football Outsiders

And with 2010, we are completely up to date with the new S&P+ and F/+ rankings. And a Varsity Numbers published late last night to commemorate the occasion.

New 2010 S&P+ Rankings
Official 2010 F/+ Rankings
Expanded 2010 Off. S&P+ Rankings
Expanded 2010 Def. S&P+ Rankings

The F/+ Top 40 for 2010 is below. The entire list can be found at Outsiders. Some quick notes:

  • So, um, notice anything interesting about the rankings below? Like, the No. 1 team maybe? From the Varsity Numbers column linked above:

    The new S&P+ adjustment helps mid-major teams, which is somewhat counter-intuitive to a lot of us. But if it results in both stronger correlations to wins and better predictive potential, then that's the way it's going to be. And let's be honest: the two most consistently great mid-major teams in recent years -- Boise State and TCU -- did little to disprove the notion that they were both very good. From 2008 to 2010, Boise State went 4-0 versus major conference teams, and TCU went 6-1 (the lone loss: to 2008 Oklahoma). We can talk about a major conference "grind" if we want, and there's no way to prove or disprove the grind's existence, but facts are facts, and the few results we have favor Boise State and TCU tremendously.

  • Beyond the oddity in the top spot, this set of rankings makes decent sense. Stanford is ahead of Oregon despite the head-to-head loss, but as we've discussed before, that's primarily because Stanford was quite possibly the best team in the country over the last half of the season, and a head-to-head matchup is only one game.
  • My Missouri Tigers' timing is off. Last year, and experienced defense ranked 14th in Def. F/+ while an offense lacking explosiveness failed to crack the Off. F/+ Top 40. This year, James Franklin and Henry Josey led the Tigers to a No. 24 spot in Off. F/+, but an inexperienced secondary led to a Def. F/+ drop to 51st.

2010 F/+ Top 40

F/+ Rk Team Record F/+ Off
F/+
Rk Def
F/+
Rk Spec.
Tms
F/+
Rk
1 Boise State 12-1 +30.2% 10.6% 10 19.5% 5 0.2% 56
2 Auburn 14-0 +29.2% 18.1% 1 11.0% 23 0.1% 60
3 Alabama 10-3 +29.0% 14.3% 5 13.5% 15 1.3% 5
4 Stanford 12-1 +27.6% 10.7% 9 16.4% 11 0.6% 37
5 TCU 13-0 +27.2% 6.3% 24 19.8% 4 1.1% 13
6 Ohio State 12-1 +25.4% 0.9% 47 24.0% 2 0.6% 36
7 Oregon 12-1 +21.8% 3.5% 34 17.7% 7 0.6% 34
8 Oklahoma 12-2 +21.6% 3.1% 38 17.9% 6 0.7% 27
9 Virginia Tech 11-3 +21.4% 10.2% 11 9.6% 29 1.6% 1
10 Arkansas 10-3 +21.2% 11.3% 8 9.6% 30 0.3% 47
11 Wisconsin 11-2 +20.8% 14.4% 4 5.7% 36 0.7% 25
12 Oklahoma State 11-2 +19.2% 8.1% 18 9.9% 27 1.2% 7
13 LSU 11-2 +18.8% 1.2% 46 16.2% 12 1.5% 3
14 South Carolina 9-5 +18.2% 8.5% 15 9.9% 26 -0.2% 75
15 Florida State 10-4 +17.5% 11.7% 7 4.7% 41 1.1% 15
16 West Virginia 9-4 +17.4% -13.7% 108 31.5% 1 -0.3% 82
17 Missouri 10-3 +17.0% 2.0% 41 14.7% 14 0.4% 43
18 Nebraska 10-4 +16.5% -4.7% 81 20.0% 3 1.2% 8
19 Notre Dame 8-5 +15.3% 2.0% 42 12.3% 18 1.1% 12
20 Iowa 8-5 +14.1% 4.1% 32 9.6% 28 0.3% 46
F/+ Rk Team Record F/+ Off
F/+
Rk Def
F/+
Rk Spec.
Tms
F/+
Rk
21 Pittsburgh 8-5 +13.8% 5.5% 27 8.1% 32 0.1% 57
22 Miami 7-6 +13.6% -2.8% 72 16.4% 10 0.0% 68
23 N.C. State 9-4 +12.9% -0.7% 58 13.5% 16 0.2% 54
24 Nevada 13-1 +11.9% 14.5% 3 -2.6% 70 0.1% 65
25 Texas A&M 9-4 +11.7% -0.8% 59 12.4% 17 0.1% 62
26 Clemson 6-7 +11.0% -5.2% 84 15.6% 13 0.6% 33
27 Georgia 6-7 +10.7% 7.1% 21 2.5% 47 1.2% 11
28 Mississippi State 9-4 +10.6% -6.7% 89 16.6% 9 0.7% 30
29 USC 8-5 +10.2% 8.1% 17 1.1% 50 1.0% 19
30 Michigan State 11-2 +10.1% 5.1% 28 4.5% 42 0.5% 40
31 Central Florida 11-3 +9.8% 0.0% 50 8.7% 31 1.2% 10
32 Maryland 9-4 +9.8% -2.6% 68 12.2% 19 0.3% 50
33 Utah 10-3 +9.8% -1.2% 62 10.1% 25 0.9% 21
34 Florida 8-5 +8.5% -2.5% 66 10.3% 24 0.7% 24
35 Illinois 7-6 +8.4% -3.1% 73 11.5% 22 0.1% 66
36 Northern Illinois 11-3 +7.8% 8.0% 19 -0.9% 63 0.7% 26
37 Louisville 7-6 +7.4% 3.4% 36 3.2% 45 0.8% 23
38 Arizona 7-6 +6.8% 6.0% 25 1.6% 48 -0.8% 96
39 Oregon State 5-7 +6.6% 6.5% 23 -0.6% 60 0.7% 29
40 South Florida 8-5 +6.5% -6.0% 87 11.9% 21 0.6% 32

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