Week 13 F/+ Picks

Last week was almost so much better. Before the results of the 7:30 PM ET (and later) games began to roll in, I was sitting at 30-16 for the week. A 3-7 finish ensured that I would actually be disappointed in my best week since Week Six. Oh well. The first week of using Special Teams F/+ ratings in the projections was successful. Hopefully the second will be, too.

Last Week's Results


Week 12 Season
Type/Range
W-L
Win%
W-L
Win%
ALL GAMES
33-23 58.9% 308-288-7 51.7%
Upset Picks 6-1 85.7% 28-30 48.3%
0-5 point spread
9-5 64.3% 78-82-2 48.8%
5-10 points
6-1 85.7% 74-63-3 53.9%
10-20 points
14-10 58.3% 97-82-1 54.2%
20-30 points
2-6 25.0% 40-43 48.2%
30+ points
2-1 66.7% 15-17 46.9%

I don't expect as good a week this time around ... not with a) a ton of rivalry games and b) a ton of road favorites. The radar is going off with this one...

Date Time (ET) Game Spread
(Home)
Winner ATS Pick
22-Nov 7:00 PM ET Miami-OH at Ohio (ESPN2) -9.0 Ohio by 11.6 Ohio
24-Nov 8:00 PM Texas at Texas A&M (ESPN) -8.0 A&M by 4.5 Texas
25-Nov 11:00 AM E. Michigan at N. Illinois (ESPNU) -18.5 NIU by 15.6 EMU
25-Nov 11:00 AM Louisville at South Florida (ESPN2) -3.0 USF by 9.2 USF
25-Nov 12:00 PM Kent State at Temple -17.0 Temple by 20.1 Temple
25-Nov 12:00 PM Iowa at Nebraska (ABC) -9.5 Nebraska by 7.6 Iowa
25-Nov 12:00 PM Houston at Tulsa (FSN) 3.5 Houston by 0.3 Tulsa
25-Nov 12:00 PM Bowling Green at Buffalo -2.5 BGSU by 3.3 BGSU
25-Nov 1:00 PM Akron at Western Michigan -28.0 WMU by 29.6 WMU
25-Nov 2:00 PM Toledo at Ball State (ESPN3) 14.0 Toledo by 12.8 Ball State
25-Nov 2:30 PM Arkansas at LSU (CBS) -11.5 LSU by 20.6 LSU
25-Nov 3:30 PM Colorado at Utah (FSN) -22.0 Utah by 22.5 Utah
25-Nov 3:30 PM Boston College at Miami (ABC) -14.0 Miami by 15.5 Miami
25-Nov 7:00 PM Pittsburgh at West Virginia (ESPN) -7.0 WVU by 2.6 Pitt
25-Nov 7:00 PM UTEP at Central Florida (CBSSN) -10.0 UCF by 8.7 UTEP
25-Nov 10:15 PM California at Arizona State (ESPN) -6.0 ASU by 7.6 ASU
26-Nov 12:00 PM Rutgers at UConn (ESPN2) 3.0 Rutgers by 10.2
Rutgers
26-Nov 12:00 PM Georgia at Georgia Tech (ESPN) 6.0 Ga. Tech by 1.5 Ga. Tech
26-Nov 12:00 PM Michigan St. at Northwestern (BTN) 7.0 MSU by 10.6 MSU
26-Nov 12:00 PM Ohio State at Michigan (ABC) -7.5 Michigan by 10.2 Michigan
26-Nov 12:00 PM Cincinnati at Syracuse (ESPN3) 2.0 Cincinnati by 5.9 Cincinnati
26-Nov 12:00 PM Iowa State at Oklahoma (FX) -28.5 Oklahoma by 26.1 Iowa State
26-Nov 12:00 PM Rice at SMU (FSN) -14.0 SMU by 13.4 Rice
26-Nov 12:21 PM Tennessee at Kentucky (SEC) 7.5 Tennessee by 7.9 Tennessee
26-Nov 12:30 PM Troy at Western Kentucky (ESPN3) -5.5 WKU by 10.1 WKU
26-Nov 12:30 PM Maryland at NC State (ESPN3) -12.0 NC State by 11.6 Maryland
26-Nov 2:00 PM Wyoming at Boise State (MTN) -32.5 Boise State by 38.3 Boise State
26-Nov 2:00 PM Nevada at Utah State (ESPN3) -1.5 Utah State by 3.7 Utah State
26-Nov 3:30 PM Fla. Int'l at Middle Tennessee 8.5 FIU by 13.1 FIU
26-Nov 3:30 PM Alabama at Auburn (CBS) 21.0 Alabama by 25.3 Alabama
26-Nov 3:30 PM Purdue at Indiana (BTN) 7.5 Purdue by 8.4 Purdue
26-Nov 3:30 PM Missouri at Kansas (FSN) 24.0 Missouri by 27 Missouri
26-Nov 3:30 PM Illinois at Minnesota (BTN) 10.5 Illinois by 12.5 Illinois
26-Nov 3:30 PM Duke at North Carolina (ESPN3) -13.0 UNC by 13.1 UNC
26-Nov 3:30 PM Vanderbilt at Wake Forest (ESPNU) 1.5 Wake by 4.9 Wake
26-Nov 3:30 PM Va. Tech at Virginia (ABC/ESPN2) 4.0 Va. Tech by 6 Va. Tech
26-Nov 3:30 PM Penn State at Wisconsin (ESPN) -15.0 Wisconsin by 12.6 Penn St.
26-Nov 3:30 PM East Carolina at Marshall (CBSSN) 1.0 Marshall by 1.3 Marshall
26-Nov 3:30 PM Oregon St. at Oregon (ABC/ESPN2) -28.0 Oregon by 30.1 Oregon
26-Nov 4:00 PM UL-Lafayette at Arizona -14.0 Arizona by 5.5 ULL
26-Nov 4:00 PM UAB at Florida Atlantic 5.0 UAB by 1.3 FAU
26-Nov 4:00 PM NMSU at La. Tech (ESPN3) -20.5 La. Tech by 23.5 La. Tech
26-Nov 4:00 PM Memphis at Southern Miss (CSS) -36.0 So. Miss by 32.3 Memphis
26-Nov 6:00 PM Air Force at Colorado State (MTN) 16.5 Air Force by 2.6 CSU
26-Nov 7:00 PM Florida State at Florida (ESPN2) 2.0 FSU by 7.5 FSU
26-Nov 7:00 PM Texas Tech at Baylor (FSN) -13.0 Baylor by 14.3 Baylor
26-Nov 7:00 PM Ole Miss at Mississippi St. (ESPNU) -17.0 MSU by 9.4 Ole Miss
26-Nov 7:30 PM Washington St. at Washington (VS) -8.5 Washington by 11.3 Washington
26-Nov 7:45 PM Clemson at South Carolina (ESPN) -4.0 S. Carolina by 0.9 Clemson
26-Nov 8:00 PM Notre Dame at Stanford (ABC) -7.0 Stanford by 2.2 Irish
26-Nov 8:00 PM San Jose State at Fresno State -6.5 Fresno by 2.4 SJSU
26-Nov 10:00 PM UCLA at USC (FSN) -14.5 USC by 21.7 USC
26-Nov 10:00 PM San Diego State at UNLV (MTN) 16.0 SDSU by 15 UNLV
26-Nov 11:00 PM Tulane at Hawaii (ESPN3) -17.0 Hawaii by 20.9 Hawaii
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