Study Hall: USC 38, Oregon 35

EUGENE, OR - NOVEMBER 19: Quarterback Matt Barkley #7 of the USC Trojans leads the band after the Trojans upset the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium on November 19, 2011 in Eugene, Oregon. USC won the game 38-35. (Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)

Like Florida State, Oregon created more opportunities for themselves, but they lost anyway. Nine trips inside USC's 40 resulted in five touchdowns, a missed field goal, two lost fumbles and a turnover on downs. Ouch.

USC 38, Oregon 35

Oregon USC Oregon USC
Close % 94.2% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 50.0% 43.1% Success Rate 56.7% 56.9%
Leverage % 73.2% 80.6% PPP 0.36 0.47
S&P 0.930 1.041
TOTAL
EqPts 28.3 29.1 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 45.2% 50.0% Success Rate 36.4% 21.4%
Close PPP 0.30 0.40 PPP 0.29 0.12
Close S&P 0.757 0.904 S&P 0.658 0.336
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 13.4 5.8 Number 2 3
Close Success Rate 43.6% 46.0% Turnover Pts 10.3 14.3
Close PPP 0.24 0.16 Turnover Pts Margin +4.0 -4.0
Close S&P 0.675 0.615
Line Yards/carry 3.30 2.95 Q1 S&P 0.285 0.661
Q2 S&P 0.886 0.968
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.648 1.256
EqPts 14.9 23.4 Q4 S&P 1.207 0.589
Close Success Rate 47.1% 54.3%
Close PPP 0.38 0.67 1st Down S&P 1.019 1.089
Close S&P 0.850 1.210 2nd Down S&P 0.730 0.649
SD/PD Sack Rate 7.7% / 8.3% 3.9% / 0.0% 3rd Down S&P 0.738 0.914
Projected Pt. Margin: Oregon +3.2 | Actual Pt. Margin: USC +3

Quick glossary (complete with national averages) after the jump.

A Quick Glossary

F/+ Rankings: The official rankings for the college portion of Football Outsiders. They combine my own S&P+ rankings (based on play-by-play data) with Brian Fremeau's drives-based FEI rankings.

Field Position %: The percentage of a team's plays run in their opponent's field position. National average: 43%.

Leverage Rate: A team's ratio of standard downs to passing downs. National average: 68%. Anything over 68% means a team did a good job of avoiding being leveraged into passing downs.

Passing Downs: Second-and-7 or more, third-and-5 or more.

PPP: An explosiveness measure derived from determining the point value of every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game. National average: 0.32.

S&P: Think of this as an OPS (the "On-Base Plus Slugging" baseball measure) for football. The 'S' stands for success rate. The 'P' stands for PPP, an explosiveness measure that stands for EqPts Per Play. S&P is measured for all non-garbage time plays in a given college football game. Plays are counted within the following criteria: when the score is within 28 points in the first quarter, within 24 points in the second quarter, within 21 points in the third quarter, and within 16 points (i.e. two possession) in the fourth quarter. For more about this measure, visit the main S&P+ page at Football Outsiders. National average: 0.747. Standard downs S&P average: 0.787. Passing downs S&P average: 0.636.

Standard Downs: First downs, second-and-6 or less, third-and-4 or less.

Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether every play of a given game was successful or not. The terms of success in college football: 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down. National Average: 42%.

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