Study Hall: Georgia 24, Florida 20

JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 29: Jarvis Jones #29 of the Georgia Bulldogs tackles John Brantley #12 of the Florida Gators during the game at EverBank Field on October 29, 2011 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Special teams gave Florida life, lack of offense took away. A 0.353 Passing Downs S&P is not the end of the world, but it's probably safe to say that you are almost never going to win with a 0.452 Standard Downs S&P. That Florida came close -- considering they would have almost been better served by kneeling the ball instead of actually running forward with it -- is impressive. Sort of.

Georgia 24, Florida 20

Florida Georgia Florida Georgia
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 51.8% 57.8% Success Rate 23.1% 39.2%
Leverage % 46.4% 61.5% PPP 0.22 0.24
S&P 0.452 0.632
TOTAL
EqPts 8.3 22.3 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 25.0% 34.9% Success Rate 26.7% 28.1%
Close PPP 0.15 0.27 PPP 0.09 0.32
Close S&P 0.399 0.618 S&P 0.353 0.597
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts -0.9 11.9 Number 2 1
Close Success Rate 12.5% 34.8% Turnover Pts 10.1 5.3
Close PPP -0.06 0.26 Turnover Pts Margin -4.8 +4.8
Close S&P 0.066 0.607
Line Yards/carry 0.49 3.17 Q1 S&P 0.769 0.583
Q2 S&P 0.349 0.588
PASSING Q3 S&P -0.001 0.656
EqPts 9.3 10.4 Q4 S&P 0.280 0.636
Close Success Rate 30.0% 35.1%
Close PPP 0.23 0.28 1st Down S&P 0.526 0.468
Close S&P 0.532 0.633 2nd Down S&P 0.257 0.562
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 25.0% 5.3% / 11.1% 3rd Down S&P 0.101 0.542
Projected Pt. Margin: Georgia +18.7 | Actual Pt. Margin: Georgia +4

Quick glossary (complete with national averages) after the jump.

A Quick Glossary

F/+ Rankings: The official rankings for the college portion of Football Outsiders. They combine my own S&P+ rankings (based on play-by-play data) with Brian Fremeau's drives-based FEI rankings.

Field Position %: The percentage of a team's plays run in their opponent's field position. National average: 43%.

Leverage Rate: A team's ratio of standard downs to passing downs. National average: 68%. Anything over 68% means a team did a good job of avoiding being leveraged into passing downs.

Passing Downs: Second-and-7 or more, third-and-5 or more.

PPP: An explosiveness measure derived from determining the point value of every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game. National average: 0.32.

S&P: Think of this as an OPS (the "On-Base Plus Slugging" baseball measure) for football. The 'S' stands for success rate. The 'P' stands for PPP, an explosiveness measure that stands for EqPts Per Play. S&P is measured for all non-garbage time plays in a given college football game. Plays are counted within the following criteria: when the score is within 28 points in the first quarter, within 24 points in the second quarter, within 21 points in the third quarter, and within 16 points (i.e. two possession) in the fourth quarter. For more about this measure, visit the main S&P+ page at Football Outsiders. National average: 0.747. Standard downs S&P average: 0.787. Passing downs S&P average: 0.636.

Standard Downs: First downs, second-and-6 or less, third-and-4 or less.

Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether every play of a given game was successful or not. The terms of success in college football: 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down. National Average: 42%.

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