Adj. Pace Rankings

In today's Varsity Numbers, we're going to look at a couple more aspects of teams' personalities. In the interest of space, I'm going to post portions of tables in the column and use this site for the full lists.

Below are all FBS teams ranked in order of Adj. Pace. This is calculated by going beyond simply who runs the most plays. Teams that pass more are naturally inclined to run more plays (since there are more clock stoppages involved), so what we do here is project how many plays a team would typically be expected to run given their run-pass ratio, then compare their actual plays to expectations. Teams, then, are ranked in order from the most plays above the expected pace, to the least.

Six of the Big 12's ten teams rank in the Top 11, which, if you've watched any Big 12 game this season, should not come as a surprise. The ACC, meanwhile, is the anti-Big 12, with five teams in the bottom nine.

(One could probably suggest that A&M slow down. If they could shrink a game down by about 20 plays, then opponents would have less time to make up double-digit second-half deficits.)

Perhaps the most interesting tidbit to note: Oregon ranks 61st. This suggests two things. First, it suggests that teams are succeeding at keeping the ball out of the Ducks' hands and milking the clock for all it is worth. We knew defenses would make these adjustments, and they have. But it also suggests that Oregon isn't making nearly the same emphasis on pace this year. They still move quickly, but mach speed has not been quite as prevalent. I assume the mid-season injuries may have at least a little bit to do with this.

Offense Plays/
Gm
Rk Rushes/
Game
Passes/
Game
% Run Expected
Plays
Adj. Pace
Rk
Texas A&M 83.4 1 40.7 42.7 0.488 70.1 +13.3 1
Texas Tech 83.4 1 32.7 50.7 0.392 71.1 +12.3 2
Nevada 79.7 4 48.1 31.6 0.604 68.9 +10.8 3
Oklahoma 81.1 3 34.9 46.2 0.430 70.7 +10.4 4
Iowa State 78.9 5 40.1 38.8 0.508 69.9 +9.0 5
South Florida 78.1 7 40.6 37.6 0.519 69.8 +8.3 6
Louisiana Tech 77.7 9 40.2 37.5 0.517 69.8 +7.9 7
Clemson 77.7 9 38.1 39.6 0.490 70.1 +7.6 8
Middle Tennessee 78.1 7 34.9 43.2 0.447 70.6 +7.6 9
Oklahoma State 78.5 6 31.5 47.0 0.401 71.0 +7.5 10
Missouri 76.2 14 43.1 33.1 0.566 69.3 +6.9 11
Toledo 76.3 13 42.2 34.1 0.553 69.4 +6.9 12
UL-Monroe 77.0 11 35.4 41.6 0.460 70.4 +6.6 13
Arkansas State 76.0 15 37.7 38.3 0.496 70.0 +6.0 14
Northwestern 75.2 18 42.5 32.7 0.565 69.3 +5.9 15
Virginia 75.2 18 40.3 34.9 0.536 69.6 +5.6 16
Baylor 75.4 17 38.7 36.8 0.513 69.9 +5.6 17
East Carolina 76.7 12 29.4 47.3 0.383 71.2 +5.5 18
Army 70.9 46 62.0 8.9 0.874 66.0 +4.9 19
Ohio 74.3 22 41.2 33.1 0.555 69.4 +4.9 20
Houston 76.0 15 29.8 46.2 0.392 71.1 +4.9 21
Tulsa 74.3 22 40.5 33.8 0.545 69.5 +4.8 22
Texas 73.4 28 45.4 28.0 0.619 68.7 +4.7 23
Southern Miss 74.5 21 37.9 36.6 0.509 69.9 +4.6 24
Air Force 71.7 39 55.2 16.5 0.770 67.1 +4.6 25

Full list after the jump.

Offense Plays/
Gm
Rk Rushes/
Game
Passes/
Game
% Run Expected
Plays
Diff Rk
Indiana 74.1 26 39.4 34.7 0.532 69.6 +4.5 26
Georgia 72.8 31 41.4 31.4 0.569 69.3 +3.5 27
West Virginia 74.3 22 29.3 45.0 0.394 71.1 +3.2 28
BYU 72.9 30 37.2 35.7 0.510 69.9 +3.0 29
Arizona 74.7 20 25.0 49.7 0.335 71.8 +2.9 30
Washington State 73.8 27 30.9 42.9 0.419 70.9 +2.9 31
Pittsburgh 73.1 29 35.3 37.8 0.483 70.2 +2.9 32
Boise State 72.8 32 36.8 36.0 0.505 69.9 +2.8 33
Troy 74.1 25 28.1 46.0 0.379 71.3 +2.8 34
Wyoming 72.6 34 37.0 35.6 0.510 69.9 +2.7 35
Navy 69.0 61 57.0 12.0 0.826 66.5 +2.5 36
Kansas State 70.9 46 45.5 25.4 0.642 68.5 +2.4 37
California 72.5 35 35.5 37.0 0.490 70.1 +2.4 38
Rice 71.9 38 38.8 33.1 0.540 69.6 +2.3 39
Nebraska 70.4 52 46.1 24.3 0.655 68.3 +2.1 40
Offense Plays/
Gm
Rk Rushes/
Game
Passes/
Game
% Run Expected
Plays
Diff Rk
Northern Illinois 71.0 45 42.3 28.7 0.596 69.0 +2.0 41
Illinois 71.1 44 41.2 29.9 0.579 69.1 +2.0 42
Rutgers 72.4 36 32.7 39.7 0.452 70.5 +1.9 43
Stanford 71.5 41 38.3 33.2 0.536 69.6 +1.9 44
Arizona State 72.4 36 32.5 39.9 0.449 70.5 +1.9 45
Duke 72.7 33 30.4 42.3 0.418 70.9 +1.8 46
Penn State 70.9 46 39.3 31.6 0.554 69.4 +1.5 47
Kansas 70.2 54 42.8 27.4 0.610 68.8 +1.4 48
Virginia Tech 70.3 53 41.7 28.6 0.593 69.0 +1.3 49
Maryland 71.6 40 33.5 38.1 0.468 70.3 +1.3 50
Ball State 71.3 43 34.2 37.1 0.480 70.2 +1.1 51
Utah State 69.4 59 43.8 25.7 0.630 68.6 +0.9 52
Western Michigan 71.5 41 29.2 42.3 0.408 71.0 +0.5 53
San Diego State 69.9 56 38.0 31.9 0.544 69.5 +0.4 54
USC 70.6 49 32.9 37.7 0.466 70.4 +0.2 55
Georgia Tech 66.9 84 53.9 13.0 0.806 66.7 +0.2 56
Bowling Green 70.5 51 32.0 38.5 0.454 70.5 +0.0 57
North Texas 69.5 58 37.6 31.9 0.541 69.5 +0.0 58
Western Kentucky 68.5 70 41.2 27.3 0.601 68.9 -0.4 59
Purdue 69.2 60 36.9 32.3 0.533 69.6 -0.4 60
Offense Plays/
Gm
Rk Rushes/
Game
Passes/
Game
% Run Expected
Plays
Diff Rk
Oregon 68.1 75 42.4 25.7 0.623 68.7 -0.6 61
South Carolina 68.3 72 40.0 28.3 0.586 69.1 -0.8 62
Connecticut 68.8 66 36.4 32.3 0.530 69.7 -0.9 63
Cincinnati 68.7 68 36.9 31.8 0.537 69.6 -0.9 64
San Jose State 69.9 55 29.2 40.7 0.418 70.9 -1.0 65
UAB 69.8 57 29.3 40.5 0.420 70.8 -1.0 66
Temple 66.4 87 48.0 18.4 0.723 67.6 -1.2 67
UL-Lafayette 68.7 67 34.3 34.5 0.499 70.0 -1.3 68
Central Florida 68.2 73 36.9 31.3 0.541 69.5 -1.3 69
Notre Dame 69.0 61 32.0 37.0 0.464 70.4 -1.4 70
New Mexico State 69.0 61 31.7 37.3 0.459 70.4 -1.4 71
Buffalo 69.0 61 31.6 37.4 0.458 70.4 -1.4 72
Mississippi State 67.9 78 37.6 30.3 0.554 69.4 -1.5 73
Hawaii 70.6 49 21.1 49.5 0.299 72.1 -1.5 74
TCU 67.6 79 38.7 28.9 0.572 69.2 -1.6 75
Wake Forest 68.5 70 32.1 36.4 0.469 70.3 -1.8 76
Arkansas 68.8 65 29.6 39.2 0.430 70.7 -1.9 77
Wisconsin 66.6 86 41.5 25.1 0.623 68.7 -2.1 78
NC State 68.2 73 31.0 37.2 0.455 70.5 -2.3 79
Alabama 67.0 82 37.5 29.5 0.560 69.3 -2.3 80
Offense Plays/
Gm
Rk Rushes/
Game
Passes/
Game
% Run Expected
Plays
Diff Rk
Fresno State 68.0 76 30.9 37.1 0.454 70.5 -2.5 81
Michigan State 67.4 81 34.0 33.4 0.504 69.9 -2.5 82
Tulane 68.0 76 30.5 37.5 0.448 70.5 -2.5 83
Florida International 67.0 82 35.8 31.2 0.534 69.6 -2.6 84
Oregon State 68.6 69 24.6 44.0 0.359 71.5 -2.9 85
Eastern Michigan 64.4 102 47.0 17.4 0.730 67.5 -3.1 86
Miami-OH 67.6 79 29.0 38.6 0.429 70.7 -3.1 87
Marshall 66.4 87 32.8 33.6 0.494 70.1 -3.7 88
Syracuse 66.9 84 29.9 37.0 0.447 70.6 -3.7 89
Tennessee 66.4 87 32.3 34.1 0.486 70.1 -3.7 90
LSU 64.4 102 42.6 21.8 0.661 68.3 -3.9 91
Colorado State 66.1 91 31.9 34.2 0.482 70.2 -4.1 92
Michigan 64.5 101 40.6 23.9 0.629 68.6 -4.1 93
Washington 65.7 93 31.9 33.8 0.486 70.1 -4.4 94
UNLV 64.6 100 37.9 26.7 0.587 69.1 -4.5 95
Central Michigan 66.3 90 26.8 39.5 0.405 71.0 -4.7 96
Ole Miss 64.7 98 35.1 29.6 0.543 69.5 -4.8 97
Iowa 65.0 96 32.8 32.2 0.505 69.9 -4.9 98
Colorado 65.7 92 28.5 37.2 0.434 70.7 -5.0 99
Akron 65.2 95 30.6 34.6 0.469 70.3 -5.1 100
Offense Plays/
Gm
Rk Rushes/
Game
Passes/
Game
% Run Expected
Plays
Diff Rk
Auburn 63.7 108 38.2 25.5 0.600 68.9 -5.2 101
Idaho 65.4 94 28.6 36.8 0.437 70.7 -5.3 102
UCLA 63.6 110 38.4 25.2 0.604 68.9 -5.3 103
Ohio State 62.9 113 41.8 21.1 0.665 68.2 -5.3 104
Kent State 64.4 102 33.5 30.9 0.520 69.8 -5.4 105
Kentucky 64.4 102 32.1 32.3 0.498 70.0 -5.6 106
Memphis 64.6 99 30.6 34.0 0.474 70.3 -5.7 107
UTEP 64.4 102 30.9 33.5 0.480 70.2 -5.8 108
New Mexico 64.1 107 31.5 32.6 0.491 70.1 -6.0 109
Vanderbilt 63.4 111 34.7 28.7 0.547 69.5 -6.1 110
SMU 64.8 97 24.3 40.5 0.375 71.3 -6.5 111
Florida State 63.7 108 30.1 33.6 0.473 70.3 -6.6 112
Louisville 63.4 111 31.5 31.9 0.497 70.0 -6.6 113
Boston College 62.9 113 34.1 28.8 0.542 69.5 -6.6 114
Florida 61.3 117 34.7 26.6 0.566 69.3 -8.0 115
Utah 61.5 115 33.3 28.2 0.541 69.5 -8.0 116
North Carolina 61.5 115 32.6 28.9 0.530 69.7 -8.2 117
Miami 60.6 118 32.9 27.7 0.543 69.5 -8.9 118
Minnesota 60.0 119 34.9 25.1 0.582 69.1 -9.1 119
Florida Atlantic 59.7 120 27.2 32.4 0.456 70.5 -10.8 120

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