Study Hall: Alabama 38, Florida 10

Alabama 38, Florida 10

Alabama Florida Alabama Florida
Close % 82.5% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 48.5% 25.0% Success Rate 54.2% 21.4%
Leverage % 70.6% 53.9% PPP 0.39 0.30
S&P 0.927 0.513
TOTAL
EqPts 25.3 10.4 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 47.4% 21.4% Success Rate 40.0% 16.7%
Close PPP 0.35 0.27 PPP 0.34 0.08
Close S&P 0.828 0.487 S&P 0.740 0.251
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 18.6 0.1 Number 0 2
Close Success Rate 53.1% 5.6% Turnover Pts 0.0 7.6
Close PPP 0.42 0.05 Turnover Pts Margin +7.6 -7.6
Close S&P 0.955 0.110
Line Yards/carry 3.30 0.45 Q1 S&P 1.021 1.078
Q2 S&P 0.764 0.297
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.453 0.181
EqPts 6.6 10.3 Q4 S&P 1.302 -0.007
Close Success Rate 40.0% 33.3%
Close PPP 0.27 0.44 1st Down S&P 0.784 0.579
Close S&P 0.666 0.770 2nd Down S&P 0.814 0.096
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 8.3% / 14.3% 3rd Down S&P 1.190 0.505
Projected Pt. Margin: Alabama +22.5 | Actual Pt. Margin: Alabama +28

Five Thoughts

  1. I mentioned before the game (and I was by no means alone in this sentiment) that Florida needed two things to have a chance to win: a) land a couple of haymakers and b) succeed to at least some small degree with their base plays. They succeeded on (a), scoring on a 65-yard bomb 19 seconds into the game. But (b) was a complete and total failure. A 5.6% rushing success rate is about as low as you will ever see, and if you are one-dimensional against Alabama, you are going to get mauled. Chris Rainey and Jeffery Demps: 14 carries, four yards.

  2. With Trent Richardson and that defense, I'm not sure it matters, but I'm less and less impressed with Alabama's passing game. Florida has a very strong pass defense, but ... Richardson is the No. 2 target, and Marquise Maze is only averaging 6.6 yards per target, a very low total for a No. 1 target.

  3. That said, the passing game was just good enough to convert some passing downs and extend drives. And that's probably as good as it needs to be.

  4. Oh, Trent Richardson. If the line is going to be clearing that much space, he'll be a Heisman finalist.

  5. It is pretty difficult to hold a team to a negative S&P, even for one quarter. 'Bama pulled it off in Q4.

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